Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.001038 0.001091 0.001144 0.001203 0.001266 0.001332 0.001405
2025-08-03 0.000962 0.001039 0.001120 0.001212 0.001315 0.001426 0.001554
2025-08-10 0.000898 0.000991 0.001091 0.001209 0.001343 0.001493 0.001674
2025-08-17 0.000834 0.000935 0.001048 0.001182 0.001341 0.001521 0.001745
2025-08-24 0.000787 0.000895 0.001017 0.001167 0.001346 0.001556 0.001822
2025-08-31 0.000755 0.000870 0.001002 0.001167 0.001368 0.001609 0.001922
2025-09-07 0.000721 0.000840 0.000979 0.001154 0.001373 0.001639 0.001992
2025-09-14 0.000693 0.000815 0.000959 0.001145 0.001380 0.001671 0.002065
2025-09-21 0.000666 0.000790 0.000940 0.001134 0.001383 0.001697 0.002131
2025-09-28 0.000640 0.000766 0.000918 0.001119 0.001380 0.001714 0.002184
2025-10-05 0.000610 0.000735 0.000887 0.001091 0.001359 0.001706 0.002202
2025-10-12 0.000593 0.000720 0.000877 0.001088 0.001370 0.001741 0.002280
2025-10-19 0.000579 0.000709 0.000872 0.001093 0.001394 0.001796 0.002392
2025-10-26 0.000568 0.000702 0.000871 0.001105 0.001427 0.001865 0.002529
2025-11-02 0.000553 0.000688 0.000861 0.001103 0.001441 0.001909 0.002630
2025-11-09 0.000530 0.000664 0.000836 0.001080 0.001424 0.001908 0.002665
2025-11-16 0.000512 0.000645 0.000819 0.001066 0.001420 0.001923 0.002724
2025-11-23 0.000500 0.000635 0.000812 0.001067 0.001435 0.001968 0.002831
2025-11-30 0.000485 0.000619 0.000797 0.001055 0.001433 0.001986 0.002896
2025-12-07 0.000472 0.000606 0.000785 0.001047 0.001435 0.002009 0.002971
2025-12-14 0.000459 0.000592 0.000772 0.001037 0.001433 0.002028 0.003039
2025-12-21 0.000445 0.000578 0.000757 0.001023 0.001426 0.002037 0.003090
2025-12-28 0.000429 0.000558 0.000734 0.000999 0.001400 0.002016 0.003089